ANALISIS RAMALAN PENJUALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE TIME SERIESDALAM MENENTUKAN JUMLAH PRODUKSI

Abstract

This study aims to ditermine the amount of production of the bread company Warna Sari” in the coming period that has not yet happened at the same time to controlor regulate the amount of raw materials used for production activities. This type of research is quatitative descriptive. Technical analysis of data is to use the time series method by calculating the number of sales and taken an avarage of 6 years. The results showed that sales in the coming periode 2019 amounted to 7.098 pcs afther that 10% of the total forecast would be added by 710 pcs.At present the number of 7.710 pcs is know, so the company needs flour as raw material of 52 kg. So when the companyis ableto find out the number of sales in the coming period raw materials ranging from flour, eggs and other can also be known to reduce the ovver of raw materials, let alone raw materials have experiation limits and also to control costs for purchasing materials used for production activities.